2007 Yankee Projections

by Zips

Name                     P  Age   AVG   OBP   SLG   G  AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI  BB   K SB CS
Bobby Abreu              rf  33  .287  .414  .466 150 534  89 153 34  1 20  98 114 122 28  7
Jason Giambi             dh  36  .241  .400  .490 125 394  70  95 17  0 27  97  91  97  1  0
Alex Rodriguez           3b  31  .287  .387  .497 156 589 108 169 26  1 32 126  88 138 16  3
Hideki Matsui            lf  33  .293  .367  .474 133 498  85 146 31  1 19 100  58  77  1  1
Derek Jeter              ss  33  .302  .378  .440 152 625 111 189 34  2 16  92  66 110 21  4
Robinson Cano            2b  24  .315  .343  .493 143 568  81 179 41  3 18  97  24  68  3  2
Jorge Posada             c   35  .264  .368  .451 127 417  59 110 22  1 18  84  63  93  1  1
Josh Phelps              1b  29  .279  .338  .486 119 426  39 119 21  2 21  72  31 107  2  1
Craig Wilson             rf  30  .255  .344  .478 114 368  59  94 18  2 20  61  32 124  1  1
Melky Cabrera            lf  22  .295  .355  .445 157 584  93 172 28  3 18  92  55  67 12  5
Johnny Damon             cf  33  .290  .353  .437 149 611 112 177 31  4 17  88  60  82 16  6

My thoughts.
Hitters
How is no one projected to slug over .500? That’s an impossibility with this lineup. 4 Yanks slugged over .500 this year.
Abreu - only a .287 batting average with 98 rbi? Those both sound a bit low to me.
Giambi - I know he’s a dead-pull hitter now with bad kness, but a .241 batting average? He should hit at least .250.
Arod, Matsui, Jeter and Cano seem about right.
Melky - I would love those numbers from him. Of course, they’re crediting him with 584 at-bats. That’s highly unklikely as the 4th outfielder. Of course, 2 outfielders went down last year, so you really never know.
Damon - Again, I would definitely take those. Especially the RBI.

Name                     Age    ERA   W   L   G  GS     INN    H   ER  HR   BB    K
Mariano Rivera            37   2.01   8   1  68   0    76.0   61   17   3   15   66
Chris Britton             24   3.63   3   1  57   0    72.0   64   29   6   25   65
Randy Johnson             43   3.71  19   9  34  34   223.0  202   92  27   54  196
Mike Mussina              38   3.91  13   8  30  30   184.0  189   80  21   43  148
Philip Hughes             21   4.06  12   7  31  31   164.0  164   74  15   58  127
Andy Pettitte             35   4.10  15   9  32  31   193.0  204   88  24   50  140
Kyle Farnsworth           31   4.16   4   2  72   0    67.0   60   31   9   29   67
Mike Myers                38   4.25   2   2  67   0    36.0   36   17   4   15   23
Chien-Ming Wang           27   4.28  12   9  29  28   183.0  202   87  16   48   79
Colter Bean               30   4.45   6   5  55   3    83.0   78   41   8   46   74
Scott Proctor             30   4.60   5   4  73   1    90.0   90   46  13   33   76
Carl Pavano               31   4.64   8   7  20  20   128.0  150   66  16   30   66
J.B. Cox                  23   4.71   4   3  37   0    65.0   70   34   6   26   34
Jose Veras                26   4.74   5   4  52   4    76.0   78   40  11   32   51
Humberto Sanchez          24   4.75   7   7  19  18   108.0  106   57  12   51   88
Brian Bruney              25   4.75   3   3  48   0    53.0   47   28   5   35   51
Kei Igawa                 27   4.77  13  11  30  30   200.0  225  106  33   49  135
T.J. Beam                 26   4.93   4   4  53   1    84.0   88   46  12   34   59

Pitchers
Randy - I’d be ecstatic with that year from him. In other words, it’s rather unrealistic.
Mussina, Wang - The ERA projections seem a bit high. I expect they’ll both have eras under 3.80.
Proctor - So Colter Bean is supposed to have a lower ERA than ‘Everyday’ Scotty? I don’t think so.
Pettitte, Hughes - Pretty accurate ERA projections in my book. But Hughes won’t get that many innings.
Igawa, Bruney - They should both have better years than this projection. Bruney was dominant this year (.87 ERA in 20.2 innings). It’s tough to say with Igawa, but I predict his ERA will be right around 4.00.


PS: I'll be examining the 2006 projections, and comparing them to the actual stats. Hopefully I can get it done before the new year.