May 17, 2007

Something about luck

I've recently been denounced (by an 'anonymous' critic) of having 'no baseball knowledge' after saying the Yanks have been unlucky this year. When I say the Yankees have had poor luck this season, it's not just me, some fan, basing it on mere observation - it's backed up by research from Bill James, the foremost baseball analyst of the last 30 years. I'm talking about 'pythagorean win percentage,' which was specifically designed to determine the expected record of a given team based on runs scored and runs allowed. The definition can be found here. And as you can see on the Yankees page, their record should be 22-16, not below .500; not to mention the grievous amount of injuries to the pitchers (even ravaging the minor league teams) - hence, poor luck.

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